Quebec's 6.4 million registered electors head to the polls Monday in an election that could redraw the province's political map, with every major poll projecting a Parti Québécois victory and one seat aggregator forecasting an outright majority.
The pro-independence PQ, led by Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, sits at roughly 29 to 30 per cent in the latest surveys, including a two-point gain in the newest Synopsis poll. Seat aggregator Qc125 projected 67 PQ seats — three above the 64-seat threshold for a majority — with the Quebec Liberals at 37 and the governing Coalition Avenir Québec shut out.
Advance turnout suggests a motivated electorate: 23.59 per cent of electors voted during the two days of advance polling on September 27 and 28, nearly matching the 24.8 per cent recorded in 2022, according to Élections Québec figures reported by The Canadian Press.
The PQ has said a government it leads would hold a referendum on independence, making the sovereignty question the central national storyline of Monday's vote across the province's 127 ridings.
